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For hope would be hope for the wrong thing; wait without love,
For love would be love of the wrong thing; there is yet faith
But the faith and the love and the hope are all in the waiting.
TS Eliot
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The crumbling global economy
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Walking Wounded
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And in spite of how weak the market has been, about 90% of what I have read or heard today, tells me investors are still dying to get long. Everyone seems convinced we bounce. Even the bears are more willing to wait to see if we break down before adding to shorts. Please look at the other rants or useful comments you get and see how many are saying this market should be sold? The stuff I am seeing is overwhelmingly of the nature "it is bad, but it is priced in and we are due for a massive bounce".
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mcgowanjm wrote:By the end of next week, gold will be breaking $1500....
“Repo to Maturity” Transactions Are in Substance Total Return Swaps, a Type of Credit
Derivative. Fallout Is Worse Than Lehman For the Exchange-Traded Futures Markets.
By Janet M. Tavakoli, President, Tavakoli Structured Finance, Inc.
11/4/2011
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The CFTC and
other regulators had the information right under their noses, but it appears they didn’t understand
that they were looking at a leveraged credit derivative transaction that could lead to margin calls that
MF Global would be unable to meet.
Even if all the money can eventually be recovered, it doesn’t change the fact the MF Global took
impermissible steps.
Liar’s Poker
Here’s a crazy but true side note. Michael Stockman, the chief risk officer of MF Global (as of January
2011), was in our Liar’s Poker training class lampooned by another classmate, Michael Lewis.
More Liar’s Poker
Last week when customers asked for excess cash from their accounts, MF Global stalled. According to
a commodity fund manager I spoke with, MF Global’s first stall tactic was to claim it lost wire transfer
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As a formerUnited States senator and a former governor of New Jersey, as well as the leader of Goldman Sachs in the 1990s, Mr. Corzine carried significant weight in the worlds of Washington and Wall Street. While other financial firms employed teams of lobbyists to fight the new regulation, MF Global’s chief executive in meetings over the last year personally pressed regulators to halt their plans.
The agency proposing the rule, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, relented. Wall Street, which has been working to curb many financial regulations, won another battle.
Yet with ... $630 million(EDIT-$1.45 Billion) in missing customer funds, Mr. Corzine’s effort may come back to haunt him.
The proposed rule would have restricted a complicated transaction that allowed MF Global in essence to borrow money from its own customers. ... While such financing is not unknown on Wall Street, it carries substantial risk. ... Regulators are now examining whether these transactions explain the missing money at MF Global. ...
Posted by Mark Thoma on Friday, November 4, 2011 at 12:24 AM
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CME Group and the CFTC should have protected customer money in late October when it was clear the firm was in trouble, said an introducing broker who has been an MF Global customer for five years and also requested anonymity for fear of reprisal.
Dave Gary, a CFTC spokesman, didn’t immediately return a call for comment.
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