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Modeling Present and Future Transportation


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Overlord
Overlord

Posts: 327

Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2011 9:25 pm

Post Sat Oct 29, 2011 10:43 am

Modeling Present and Future Transportation

Was musing future transportation -- as far as modeling and energy use, supplies, etc. -- with some of the older engineers at work. Big (big, big) power/energy-land, as it were.

Electric, Gasoline, Hydrogen, Renewables, Nukes, etc.

These are fairly sharp guys who know the real numbers and have watched "non-selected" options get buried over the years -- as have I. One of them was even developing Strontium based batteries back in the '70s.

Rather than letting all that knowledge and real number modeling just fall off the end of the desk and be swept away into retirements, I was pondering with some about doing some front-to-end modeling of overall energy use down different paths and outcomes.

Maybe one path would be Oil-from-the-ground, through the refinery, into the tank, and turning the wheels.

Another might be electricity from various sources, through the flow path to batteries and turning the wheels.

Other sub-branches could be grid roads, transportation mode mixes and optimization, along with some open areas for fantasy future tech for folks that get into that.

but at any rate, it would be a flexible modeling calculator

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Couple of questions come to mind on starting this --

1. Anyone know of anyone who has done some or major portions of this?

2. Any options or branches that anyone would like to see to run in the side-by-side comparisons?

I suppose we could even do the materials/resources side of things (as opposed to just the energy side of things), since Ralfy and PM tend to like those.
"If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses." attributed to Henry Ford.
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Sovereign of Doom
Sovereign of Doom

Posts: 577

Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:33 am

Post Sat Oct 29, 2011 12:36 pm

Re: Modeling Present and Future Transportation

The "materials/resources side of things" is not opposed to "the energy side of things" but part of the "flexible modeling calculator." An "inflexible modeling calculator" on the other hand, will only look "at just the energy side of things."

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