Overlord
Posts: 327
Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2011 9:25 pm
Modeling Present and Future Transportation
Was musing future transportation -- as far as modeling and energy use, supplies, etc. -- with some of the older engineers at work. Big (big, big) power/energy-land, as it were.
Electric, Gasoline, Hydrogen, Renewables, Nukes, etc.
These are fairly sharp guys who know the real numbers and have watched "non-selected" options get buried over the years -- as have I. One of them was even developing Strontium based batteries back in the '70s.
Rather than letting all that knowledge and real number modeling just fall off the end of the desk and be swept away into retirements, I was pondering with some about doing some front-to-end modeling of overall energy use down different paths and outcomes.
Maybe one path would be Oil-from-the-ground, through the refinery, into the tank, and turning the wheels.
Another might be electricity from various sources, through the flow path to batteries and turning the wheels.
Other sub-branches could be grid roads, transportation mode mixes and optimization, along with some open areas for fantasy future tech for folks that get into that.
but at any rate, it would be a flexible modeling calculator
==============================
Couple of questions come to mind on starting this --
1. Anyone know of anyone who has done some or major portions of this?
2. Any options or branches that anyone would like to see to run in the side-by-side comparisons?
I suppose we could even do the materials/resources side of things (as opposed to just the energy side of things), since Ralfy and PM tend to like those.
Electric, Gasoline, Hydrogen, Renewables, Nukes, etc.
These are fairly sharp guys who know the real numbers and have watched "non-selected" options get buried over the years -- as have I. One of them was even developing Strontium based batteries back in the '70s.
Rather than letting all that knowledge and real number modeling just fall off the end of the desk and be swept away into retirements, I was pondering with some about doing some front-to-end modeling of overall energy use down different paths and outcomes.
Maybe one path would be Oil-from-the-ground, through the refinery, into the tank, and turning the wheels.
Another might be electricity from various sources, through the flow path to batteries and turning the wheels.
Other sub-branches could be grid roads, transportation mode mixes and optimization, along with some open areas for fantasy future tech for folks that get into that.
but at any rate, it would be a flexible modeling calculator
==============================
Couple of questions come to mind on starting this --
1. Anyone know of anyone who has done some or major portions of this?
2. Any options or branches that anyone would like to see to run in the side-by-side comparisons?
I suppose we could even do the materials/resources side of things (as opposed to just the energy side of things), since Ralfy and PM tend to like those.
"If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses." attributed to Henry Ford.


