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Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness


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Post Mon Feb 20, 2012 9:43 am

Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-0 ... story.html

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Icelanders who pelted parliament with rocks in 2009 demanding their leaders and bankers answer for the country’s economic and financial collapse are reaping the benefits of their anger.

Since the end of 2008, the island’s banks have forgiven loans equivalent to 13 percent of gross domestic product, easing the debt burdens of more than a quarter of the population, according to a report published this month by the Icelandic Financial Services Association.

“You could safely say that Iceland holds the world record in household debt relief,” said Lars Christensen, chief emerging markets economist at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. “Iceland followed the textbook example of what is required in a crisis. Any economist would agree with that.”

The island’s steps to resurrect itself since 2008, when its banks defaulted on $85 billion, are proving effective. Iceland’s economy will this year outgrow the euro area and the developed world on average, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimates. It costs about the same to insure against an Icelandic default as it does to guard against a credit event in Belgium. Most polls now show Icelanders don’t want to join the European Union, where the debt crisis is in its third year.

The island’s households were helped by an agreement between the government and the banks, which are still partly controlled by the state, to forgive debt exceeding 110 percent of home values. On top of that, a Supreme Court ruling in June 2010 found loans indexed to foreign currencies were illegal, meaning households no longer need to cover krona losses.

Crisis Lessons

“The lesson to be learned from Iceland’s crisis is that if other countries think it’s necessary to write down debts, they should look at how successful the 110 percent agreement was here,” said Thorolfur Matthiasson, an economics professor at the University of Iceland in Reykjavik, in an interview. “It’s the broadest agreement that’s been undertaken.”

Without the relief, homeowners would have buckled under the weight of their loans after the ratio of debt to incomes surged to 240 percent in 2008, Matthiasson said.

Iceland’s $13 billion economy, which shrank 6.7 percent in 2009, grew 2.9 percent last year and will expand 2.4 percent this year and next, the Paris-based OECD estimates. The euro area will grow 0.2 percent this year and the OECD area will expand 1.6 percent, according to November estimates.

Housing, measured as a subcomponent in the consumer price index, is now only about 3 percent below values in September 2008, just before the collapse. Fitch Ratings last week raised Iceland to investment grade, with a stable outlook, and said the island’s “unorthodox crisis policy response has succeeded.”

People Vs Markets

Iceland’s approach to dealing with the meltdown has put the needs of its population ahead of the markets at every turn.

Once it became clear back in October 2008 that the island’s banks were beyond saving, the government stepped in, ring-fenced the domestic accounts, and left international creditors in the lurch. The central bank imposed capital controls to halt the ensuing sell-off of the krona and new state-controlled banks were created from the remnants of the lenders that failed.

Activists say the banks should go even further in their debt relief. Andrea J. Olafsdottir, chairman of the Icelandic Homes Coalition, said she doubts the numbers provided by the banks are reliable.

“There are indications that some of the financial institutions in question haven’t lost a penny with the measures that they’ve undertaken,” she said.

Fresh Demands

According to Kristjan Kristjansson, a spokesman for Landsbankinn hf, the amount written off by the banks is probably larger than the 196.4 billion kronur ($1.6 billion) that the Financial Services Association estimates, since that figure only includes debt relief required by the courts or the government.

“There are still a lot of people facing difficulties; at the same time there are a lot of people doing fine,” Kristjansson said. “It’s nearly impossible to say when enough is enough; alongside every measure that is taken, there are fresh demands for further action.”

As a precursor to the global Occupy Wall Street movement and austerity protests across Europe, Icelanders took to the streets after the economic collapse in 2008. Protests escalated in early 2009, forcing police to use teargas to disperse crowds throwing rocks at parliament and the offices of then Prime Minister Geir Haarde. Parliament is still deciding whether to press ahead with an indictment that was brought against him in September 2009 for his role in the crisis.

A new coalition, led by Social Democrat Prime Minister Johanna Sigurdardottir, was voted into office in early 2009. The authorities are now investigating most of the main protagonists of the banking meltdown.

Legal Aftermath

Iceland’s special prosecutor has said it may indict as many as 90 people, while more than 200, including the former chief executives at the three biggest banks, face criminal charges.

Larus Welding, the former CEO of Glitnir Bank hf, once Iceland’s second biggest, was indicted in December for granting illegal loans and is now waiting to stand trial. The former CEO of Landsbanki Islands hf, Sigurjon Arnason, has endured stints of solitary confinement as his criminal investigation continues.

That compares with the U.S., where no top bank executives have faced criminal prosecution for their roles in the subprime mortgage meltdown. The Securities and Exchange Commission said last year it had sanctioned 39 senior officers for conduct related to the housing market meltdown.

The U.S. subprime crisis sent home prices plunging 33 percent from a 2006 peak. While households there don’t face the same degree of debt relief as that pushed through in Iceland, President Barack Obama this month proposed plans to expand loan modifications, including some principal reductions.

According to Christensen at Danske Bank, “the bottom line is that if households are insolvent, then the banks just have to go along with it, regardless of the interests of the banks.”
I said to my soul, be still, and wait without hope
For hope would be hope for the wrong thing; wait without love,
For love would be love of the wrong thing; there is yet faith
But the faith and the love and the hope are all in the waiting.

TS Eliot
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Post Mon Feb 20, 2012 10:16 am

Re: Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

With Argentina coming in Second.... :? 8-)

And so the reason for Attacking Iran and blockading Cuba:
The threat to the Empire from a Working Alternative.

Charles Hughes Smith nails it here:

The global banking cartel has declared Greece's debts to be permanent and its people debt-serfs. More precisely, some privately held debt will be written down, but certainly not all of it, and the debt owed to the European Central Bank cannot be written down a single euro: Greece must pay the interest on the full debt, whatever the costs to its people.

We might ask why the fully-financialized Status Quo of financial and political Elites so carefully insures no shadow of ethics passes over the Greek debt crisis: If they did, it would become obvious that when debt becomes more important than people, the system is evil and should be dismantled.


http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/20 ... wominds%29

Listen to the USSA and you and/or your children will be hooked to the plow.
You might be lucky and have a mule.

Kunstler:

The long boom that took them from an agricultural backwater of barefoot peasantry to a miracle world of Sonic Drive-ins, perpetual air-conditioning, WalMarts, and creation museums is turning back in the other direction and they fear losing all that comfort, convenience, and spectacle. Since they don't understand where it came from, they conclude that it was all a God-given endowment conferred upon them for their exceptional specialness as Americans, and so only the forces of evil could conspire to take it all away.
Hence, the rise of a sanctimonious, hyper-patriotic putz such as Rick Santorum and his take-back-the-night appeal to those who sense the gathering twilight.


http://kunstler.com/blog/2012/02/the-ch ... -make.html

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Post Mon Feb 20, 2012 11:27 am

Re: Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

And what, some debt forgiveness and everything will be OK? Like the basic system isn't at its core rotten and falling apart? :roll: :roll:
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the violently vicious and voracious violation of volition! (V For Vendetta)

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Post Mon Feb 20, 2012 1:22 pm

Re: Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

Picasso Moon wrote:And what, some debt forgiveness and everything will be OK? Like the basic system isn't at its core rotten and falling apart? :roll: :roll:

Yes Picasso, the basic system in Iceland WAS at it's core rotten and FELL apart, just like the U.S. and Europe will. But unlike us ignorant Euro-Ameri pansies, they actually told the greedy banksters and government puppets to stick it up their ass. http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/3941d866 ... z1mwyypM7v

Even after all the grand chess master Picasso Moon's dire warnings, Icelanders are proving their methodology more successful than bending over and grabbing their ankles.

Not just some debt forgiveness by the way... 8-)
The island’s households were helped by an agreement between the government and the banks, which are still partly controlled by the state.

On top of that, a Supreme Court ruling found loans indexed to foreign currencies were illegal.

Iceland’s special prosecutor has said it may indict as many as 90 people, while more than 200, including the former chief executives at the three biggest banks, face criminal charges.

Larus Welding, the former CEO of Glitnir Bank hf, once Iceland’s second biggest, was indicted in December for granting illegal loans and is now waiting to stand trial. The former CEO of Landsbanki Islands hf, Sigurjon Arnason, has endured stints of solitary confinement as his criminal investigation continues.

That compares with the U.S., where no top bank executives have faced criminal prosecution for their roles in the subprime mortgage meltdown.
"It's all in the way you perceive the illusion."

"If a thing loves, it is infinite." - William Blake

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Post Mon Feb 20, 2012 2:21 pm

Re: Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

No, Russ, capitalism is STILL rotten to the core, and some or even total debt forgiveness doesn't make this rot go away. Not that this will stop you or many others from clinging on to it with dreams that some tinkering can make it OK. And banksters have ZERO to do with the rot at the core, which is inherent to the capitalist mode of production.
http://www.dailybattle.pair.com/2010/american_left_doesnt_get_capitalism.shtml
Vow to vanquish the venal and virulent vermin vanguarding vice and vouchsafing
the violently vicious and voracious violation of volition! (V For Vendetta)

SHIT SUCKS! MOVE ON! - Allissun
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Post Tue Feb 21, 2012 2:10 am

Re: Icelandic Anger Brings Debt Forgiveness

It should also be noted that prior to the crash home ownership in Iceland was around 80 pct, with several households buying and selling houses to profit, similar to what was taking place in the U.S. I think after saturating the local market, Icelandic banks started to invest in Wall Street, together with other economies that experienced high levels of credit and speculation. Finally, similar is taking place among the middle class in different countries.

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